InfoTrends/CAP Ventures’ new forecast entitled U.S. All-in-One Cartridge Market Forecast: 2003-2008 examines the all-in-one laser toner cartridge market in the United States from 2003 through 2008. It includes engine population estimates and also specifies OEM and aftermarket cartridge demand.
For the purposes of this report, AIO (all-in-one) refers to cartridges that include the toner and the drum in the same unit. AIO can also be used to describe a multifunctional output device, but this definition will not apply in this document.
According to the forecast, the total all-in-one (AIO) cartridge consumption in the United States is projected to be valued at over $10 billion in 2008, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. The fastest growing segment will be the 40+ ppm high-speed segment, experiencing an astounding 69% CAGR over the forecast period.
Figure 1: U.S. Total AIO Printer Cartridge Consumption
The overall market for AIO cartridges continues to grow in the United States. With the shift to higher speeds and volumes, the average cartridge is getting larger with correspondingly higher yields. In turn, on a unit basis this market will see a decline in the later years of the forecast period. However, because larger, higher-yield cartridges have greater market values than smaller, lower-yield cartridges, the overall retail value of the cartridges will continue to grow.
The aftermarket’s share continues to hover at about 30% in terms of units and about 25% in terms of retail value. Based on our estimated penetration rates for each cartridge and overall demand for each cartridge, the Figure below provides our estimates for total aftermarket cartridge consumption. We believe that aftermarket unit consumption will peak in 2006 and then begin declining in 2008.
Figure 2: U.S. Aftermarket Share of Monochrome AIO Printer Cartridge
OEM cartridges are expected to demonstrate the same peak and decline trend; however, revenue in both segments should continue to grow given the reasonably stable aftermarket penetration rates that we expect. OEMs and aftermarket suppliers are currently equal in terms of aftermarket share. Moving forward, however, they will be facing several issues such as the increase of color technology, and learning how to compete in an industry that is increasingly sourcing products from lower-cost regions.
The preceding is an excerpt from InfoTrends/CAP Ventures’ report “U.S. All-in-One Cartridge Market Forecast: 2003-2008.” The complete document is available immediately. To learn more about the report or to make a purchase, visit our online report store or contact Alison Hipp at , ext. 126 or .
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